{"id":1022312,"date":"2022-11-30T14:34:19","date_gmt":"2022-11-30T11:34:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/darkamazi.site\/?p=1022312"},"modified":"2022-12-06T01:00:05","modified_gmt":"2022-12-05T22:00:05","slug":"turkiyenin-rojava-iranin-kurdistan-bolgesi-tehdidi-stratejiler-ve-cozumler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/darkamazi.site\/archives\/1022312","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rojava, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi tehdidi; stratejiler ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n iki par\u00e7as\u0131n\u0131 tehdit etmesi ve sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 hakl\u0131 olarak t\u00fcm K\u00fcrtlerin temel g\u00fcndemi ve \u00f6yle olmak zorunda.
\nFakat \u00f6yle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor ki K\u00fcrtler hala meseleye stratejik ve b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fckl\u00fc baka bilmi\u015f de\u011fil. Bu da akl\u0131m\u0131za hemen Sun Tzu\u2019nun o me\u015fhur s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc getirmektedir: “Taktiksiz strateji,\u00a0zafere\u00a0uzanan en\u00a0yava\u015f yoldur. Stratejisiz taktik, yenilgiden \u00f6nceki g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fcd\u00fcr.”<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0K\u00fcrtlerin bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ne hamasete ne meydan okumaya ne \u015fikayet etmeye ne de birbirine sald\u0131rmaya ihtiyac\u0131 vard\u0131r. K\u00fcrtlerin ihtiyac\u0131 olan \u015fey strateji olu\u015fturmakt\u0131r. Bu stratejinin ise amac\u0131 \u015fudur: \u201cK\u00fcrtler \u00fczerindeki derin inkar, imha ve i\u015fgal siyaseti nas\u0131l durdurulacak?\u201d Bu soruya cevap vermek d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u015feyler g\u00fcndem d\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekten i\u00e7inde vatanseverlik ve milli duygular olan herkes \u015fu anda K\u00fcrtlerin birlik olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyor. Olaylara bak\u0131\u015f\u0131, s\u00f6zl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc farkl\u0131 olanlar\u0131n bir an i\u00e7in kalk\u0131p birlik olmas\u0131 beklenemez. \u00d6nce ortak tespitler ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler \u00fczerinde uzla\u015fmak gerekir.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran ve T\u00fcrkiye hem ortak hem kavgal\u0131\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u00fcrt medyas\u0131 var olan sald\u0131r\u0131larda Rojava\u2019y\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karmakta, \u0130ran bu konuda daha tali bir yer verilmektedir. Oysa ki sald\u0131r\u0131lar her iki g\u00fcce aittir. Temmuz ay\u0131nda Tahran\u2019da yap\u0131lan \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc zirvesinden yana bu konudaki pazarl\u0131klar s\u00fcrmektedir. Hemen bu zirveden sonra 20 Temmuz\u2019da Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Zaxo vilayetine ba\u011fl\u0131 Haftanin\u2019de ki Perex k\u00f6y\u00fcne d\u00f6n\u00fck sald\u0131r\u0131 asl\u0131nda bu s\u00fcrecin i\u015faret fi\u015fe\u011fiydi. Daha \u00f6nce bu konuda yay\u0131nlam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fumuz yaz\u0131ya \u015fu linkten ula\u015fa bilirsiniz: https:\/\/darkamazi.site\/archives\/1020234<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0 \u00a0\u0130ran ve T\u00fcrkiye, ABD ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bat\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin b\u00f6lgeden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmaya zorlanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in karar verdi. Fakat bu g\u00fc\u00e7lerin destekledi\u011fi K\u00fcrtlere ne olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda pazarl\u0131k yapt\u0131lar. Hala da pazarl\u0131k yap\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n

Her iki tarafta birbirini kolluyor. Biryandan anti -K\u00fcrt kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ve ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131k konusunda ortaklar \u00f6te yandan da birbirlerine kar\u015f\u0131 ku\u015fkulular, tarihsel ve ontolojik kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131klar\u0131 vard\u0131r. Birbirlerinden rol ve pay kapmak istemektedirler.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin Afganistan, Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131ndan sonra i\u00e7e b\u00fcz\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki imaj\u0131 b\u00f6lgedeki anti K\u00fcrdistani cepheyi olduk\u00e7a cesaretlendirmi\u015ftir. Her iki tarafta K\u00fcrtlerin tek resmi kazan\u0131m\u0131 olan K\u00fcrdistan b\u00f6lgesini ezmek y\u00f6n\u00fcnde karar\u0131 kesindir. 20\u2019inci y\u0131lda \u00e7izilen s\u00f6m\u00fcrgeci haritalar K\u00fcrtlerin yeniden dirili\u015fini engellememi\u015ftir. Bu kez K\u00fcrtler yeniden payla\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki s\u00f6m\u00fcrgeci g\u00fc\u00e7ler stat\u00fckoyu korumak i\u00e7in topraklar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctmekte kararl\u0131d\u0131r. Gerekirse birbirleri ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015farak da olsa bu planlar\u0131n\u0131 uygulayacaklard\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Hakan Fidan\u2019\u0131n Irak ziyareti, Kerk\u00fck hava alan\u0131 ve Ovak\u00f6y s\u0131n\u0131r kap\u0131s\u0131 <\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin amac\u0131n\u0131n sadece Rojava oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek hatal\u0131 olur. T\u00fcrkiye Rojava\u2019da umdu\u011fu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir operasyon izni almasa da iki temel amac\u0131 vard\u0131r. Kobani ile Cizre B\u00f6lgesi aras\u0131n\u0131 bir hat ile b\u00f6lmek. Sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n Kobani\u2019de artmas\u0131 bunu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir di\u011fer hedefi de Derik\u2019e ba\u011fl\u0131 Andiwer k\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fcn yukar\u0131s\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak bir hat a\u00e7arak Til Afere ula\u015fmak yani Ovak\u00f6y s\u0131n\u0131r kap\u0131s\u0131 hayalini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmektir. Bu da \u015eengal\u2019e uzanmak demektir. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrk devleti Ko\u00e7erat ve Berave denen b\u00f6lgedeki k\u00f6ylerin elektrik hatlar\u0131n\u0131 ve gaz alt yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 vurmaktad\u0131r. Operasyon yap\u0131lmas\u0131 ama\u00e7lanan b\u00f6lgelerden biri bu b\u00f6lgedir. Bu b\u00f6lgenin ayr\u0131ca Rimelan petrol sahas\u0131n\u0131n sadece 30 km uza\u011f\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca hemen bu yol hat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi b\u00f6lgelerde baz\u0131 kuyular oldu\u011funu da belirtmektede fayda var.\u00a0 Di\u011fer alanlarda operasyon yap\u0131lmazsa bile buraya koridor a\u00e7\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Yani sa\u011f g\u00f6sterip sol vurulacak. Kobani olmazsa bile \u015eengal\u2019e uzan\u0131lacakt\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 hedefi budur. Bu da Misaki Milli s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 demektir.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylelikle hem Rojava ile G\u00fcney\u2019i birbirinden ay\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olacak hem de Ba\u011fdat\u2019la direk yol a\u00e7\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Hakan Fidan\u2019\u0131n 13 Eyl\u00fcl tarihinde Ba\u011fdat\u2019a yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ziyaret ve alel acele, alt yap\u0131s\u0131 tamamlanmadan Kerk\u00fck hava alan\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131nda da t\u00fcm bu planlar\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r.
\nYani bu denli stratejik ve uzun vadeli bir planla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Kalk\u0131p bunu AKP\u2019nin se\u00e7im yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131, i\u00e7 politikadaki s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile izah etmek kabul edilemez. Bu plan AKP\u2019nin de\u011fil T\u00fcrk devletinin derin akl\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n hesaplar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130ran Irak\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den daha fazla \u00f6rg\u00fctl\u00fcd\u00fcr. Yani T\u00fcrkiye gibi direk hareket etmek yerine Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi ve Ba\u011fdat ad\u0131na harekete ge\u00e7irece\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7ler vard\u0131r. Kor Mor gaz sahas\u0131 vb alanlara do\u011fru bunlar ad\u0131na hareket edebilir. Hatta maalesef ki bu g\u00fc\u00e7lerden baz\u0131lar\u0131 da K\u00fcrtlerin i\u00e7indendir, YNK ve PKK gibi. Bu konuya daha sonra de\u011finece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

Fakat \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n iki hedefi vard\u0131r. Kendisi ile K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131ra ya direk Irak ordusunu getirmek ya da direk kendisi tutmak. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6zellikle Bradost hatt\u0131nda ki Xaxurke, \u015eekif, Lolan hatt\u0131ndaki hareketi \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 rahats\u0131z etmektedir. Her ne kadar PKK medyas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin s\u0131n\u0131r \u00fczerindeki operasyonlar\u0131nda bilin\u00e7li olarak yanl\u0131\u015f alg\u0131 olu\u015fturmu\u015f olsa da ger\u00e7ek \u015fudur: \u201cT\u00fcrkiye s\u0131n\u0131rdan i\u00e7eri yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 operasyonlar\u0131 NATO \u00fcyesi olarak ve NATO\u2019nun izni ile yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. NATO \u0130ran kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir kalkan olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye operasyon yapma hakk\u0131 vermi\u015ftir\u201d. \u0130ran bu ger\u00e7e\u011fi bildi\u011fi i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu s\u0131n\u0131r hatt\u0131 boyunca uzanmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyecek ad\u0131mlar atmak istemektedir. Yani K\u00fcrtlerin siyasal ve y\u00f6netsel varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bitirilmesinde ortakt\u0131rlar fakat s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fi gibi konularda \u00e7eli\u015fkilidirler.<\/p>\n

Bu da \u015fu anlama geliyor: \u0130ran G\u00fcney operasyonu T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi blokaj edecek bi\u00e7imde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecektir. \u00a0E\u011fer \u0130ran K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesine operasyon d\u00fczenlerse S\u00fcleymaniye\u2019de de\u011fil Hac\u0131 \u00dcmran s\u0131n\u0131r kap\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7evresinden hareket edecektir. Zaten var oldu\u011fu Kela\u015fin Helgurt hatt\u0131ndan Horne ve Go\u015fine\u2019ye incektir. Bu da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Xinere, hatt\u0131ndan \u0130ran s\u0131n\u0131r hatt\u0131 boyunca ilerlemesini durduracak bir hamle anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u00a0Di\u011fer yandan ise \u015eeyh Nas\u0131r Da\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Hac\u0131 \u00dcmran\u2019a bakan y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc tutacak ve Gulala k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6zetleyecektir. Yani Diyana, Sideka hatt\u0131na do\u011fru uzanacakt\u0131r. Kandil\u2019i koruma alt\u0131na alacakt\u0131r. Zaten Kandil\u2019in zirveleri 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda PKK ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan anla\u015fma ile \u0130ran\u2019a verilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcrtler kendisini \u0130ran ve T\u00fcrkiye konusunda kand\u0131ramaz<\/strong><\/p>\n

Elbette bu \u00fclkeler s\u00f6ylediklerimizi bir \u00e7\u0131rp\u0131da hi\u00e7 engelsiz yapa bilecek de\u011fillerdir. Onlar\u0131 engellemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan g\u00fc\u00e7lerde olacakt\u0131r. Fakat \u00f6ncelikle engellemesi gereken K\u00fcrtlerin kendisidir. Hukuki, diplomatik hatta askeri m\u00fccadele olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Fakat \u00f6ncelikle K\u00fcrt cephesi kendini g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmek zorundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcrtler \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den veya T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019dan iyi oldu\u011fu konusunda kendini kand\u0131rmamal\u0131d\u0131r. PKK\u2019nin bu konuda ki manip\u00fclasyonu tehlikelidir. T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130ran K\u00fcrtlere kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131k konusunda ortakt\u0131r. Mazlum Abdi\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u201c\u0130ran\u2019da T\u00fcrkiye operasyonuna kar\u015f\u0131d\u0131r\u201d demesi stratejik bir hata oldu\u011fu gibi PKK siyasetinin de itiraf\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130ran bir K\u00fcrt dostu de\u011fildir. \u0130ran T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin K\u00fcrtlere operasyon yapmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fildir. \u0130ran T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerini Suriye\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131ndan ayr\u0131ca K\u00fcrtlerin bu bi\u00e7imde Suriye ve \u0130ran\u2019a muhta\u00e7 olmas\u0131ndan memnundur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunu kendisi yapamazd\u0131. Sadece T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu arada fazla yay\u0131lmas\u0131ndan rahats\u0131zd\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Tablo \u015funu g\u00f6steriyor ki 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 anti-K\u00fcrdistani cephenin K\u00fcrdistan\u0131 bo\u011fma giri\u015fimlerine tan\u0131kl\u0131k edecek. Peki K\u00fcrtler ne yapacak? PKK\u2019nin duru\u015fu K\u00fcrtleri nas\u0131l etkileyecek? K\u00fcrtler hangi temellerde birlik ola bilir? K\u00fcrtlerin stratejik ili\u015fkileri kimler olacak? Esas cevap bekleyen sorular ise bunlard\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Yar\u0131n: \u00a0K\u00fcrtler ne yapmal\u0131?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n iki par\u00e7as\u0131n\u0131 tehdit etmesi ve sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 hakl\u0131 olarak t\u00fcm K\u00fcrtlerin temel g\u00fcndemi ve \u00f6yle olmak zorunda. Fakat \u00f6yle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor ki K\u00fcrtler hala meseleye stratejik ve b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fckl\u00fc baka bilmi\u015f de\u011fil. Bu da akl\u0131m\u0131za hemen Sun Tzu\u2019nun o me\u015fhur s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc getirmektedir: “Taktiksiz strateji,\u00a0zafere\u00a0uzanan en\u00a0yava\u015f yoldur. Stratejisiz taktik, yenilgiden \u00f6nceki g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fcd\u00fcr.” […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1022313,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-1022312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorden","tag-onemli"],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":7}},"seo_head":"\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rojava, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi tehdidi; stratejiler ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler - Darka Mazi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/darkamazi.site\/archives\/1022312\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rojava, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi tehdidi; stratejiler ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler - Darka Mazi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n iki par\u00e7as\u0131n\u0131 tehdit etmesi ve sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 hakl\u0131 olarak t\u00fcm K\u00fcrtlerin temel g\u00fcndemi ve \u00f6yle olmak zorunda. 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