{"id":1032275,"date":"2024-12-20T22:24:23","date_gmt":"2024-12-20T19:24:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/darkamazi.site\/?p=1032275"},"modified":"2024-12-20T22:24:23","modified_gmt":"2024-12-20T19:24:23","slug":"ferhan-sindi-independent-turkce-icin-yazdi-iranin-direnis-ekseni-mevzi-kaybetmeye-devam-ediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/darkamazi.site\/archives\/1032275","title":{"rendered":"Ferhan Sindi Independent T\u00fcrk\u00e7e i\u00e7in yazd\u0131: \u0130ran’\u0131n “Direni\u015f Ekseni” mevzi kaybetmeye devam ediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcrt yazar ve siyasi g\u00f6zlemci Serbest Ferhan Sindi Suriye sonras\u0131 geli\u015fecek olan yeni s\u00fcreci, Irak ve Yemen cephelerinde \u0130ran’\u0131n durumunu de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi bir yaz\u0131 kaleme ald\u0131. Independent T\u00fcrk\u00e7e’de yay\u0131nlanan makaleye a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ula\u015fa bilirsiniz:<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u0130ran<\/a>‘\u0131n liderli\u011findeki “Direni\u015f Ekseni<\/a>” denilen cephe, mevzi kaybetmeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

Gazze’deki a\u011f\u0131r y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n ard\u0131ndan L\u00fcbnan’da Hizbullah’\u0131n yedi\u011fi a\u011f\u0131r darbeler \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc belini do\u011frultamayaca\u011f\u0131 bir hale getirdi.<\/p>\n

Son olarak da 8 Aral\u0131k’ta \u0130ran’\u0131n L\u00fcbnan’la ba\u011flant\u0131 hatt\u0131 ve Akdeniz’e klasik tabirle s\u0131cak sulara a\u00e7\u0131lan kap\u0131s\u0131 Suriye rejimi de d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Bu geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6zler\u00a0“Direni\u015f Ekseni”<\/em>nin iki \u00f6nemli kalesi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen\u00a0Yemen<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0Irak<\/a>‘a \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

\n\u0130srail’in \u0130ran’\u0131n Irak’taki paramiliter g\u00fcc\u00fc olan Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi’yi vuraca\u011f\u0131na dair s\u00f6ylentiler 7 Ekim’den bu yana dola\u015f\u0131yor fakat burada \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olay ya\u015fanmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Irak’\u0131n istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmemesi i\u00e7in ABD’nin \u0130srail’i frenledi\u011fi s\u00f6yleniyor. Fakat Nuceba Hareketi, Irak Hizbullah\u0131 ve kendisine Irak \u0130slam Direni\u015fi ad\u0131n\u0131 veren gruplar \u0130srail’e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 hi\u00e7 kesmedi ve bunu kamuoyuna ilan etmekten de ka\u00e7\u0131nmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ortado\u011fu’da dengeler yeniden kurulurken herkes durdu\u011fu yeri sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131rmaya ya da sa\u011flam g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri cepheye ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Zira art\u0131k Ortado\u011fu’daki g\u00fc\u00e7 merkezleri ve karar odaklar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Yeni bir dizayn i\u00e7in herkes konum al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

7 Ekim’den sonra hi\u00e7bir \u015feyin ayn\u0131 kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya da kalmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel ile k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7lerin hesapla\u015fma alan\u0131 olan Filistin, L\u00fcbnan, Suriye, Yemen ve Irak’ta \u00e7ok \u015feyin de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek art\u0131k kehanet de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Suriye’de bu oldu bitti bile.<\/p>\n

Filistin’de \u00f6nemli oranda bitti.<\/p>\n

L\u00fcbnan’da ve Yemen’de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n

Ve nihayet s\u0131rada Irak var.<\/p>\n

Irak<\/a>‘\u0131n bu krizden etkilenmemesi ve ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimlerden nasibini almamas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Zira Irak,\u00a0“Direni\u015f Ekseni”\u00a0<\/em>diye tabir edilen \u0130ran vekil g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin ilk dura\u011f\u0131 ve \u015fu an itibar\u0131yla en muhkem kalesi konumunda.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n Irak’taki bir numaral\u0131 adam\u0131 olarak kabul edilen Maliki, bir televizyon kanal\u0131na yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada,\u00a0“\u0130ran’\u0131n Suriye’de Esed y\u00f6netiminin devrilmesine izin vermesinin kendisini \u015foke etti\u011fini”<\/em>\u00a0s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Irak’taki \u015eii liderlerin genel kanaati, Esed’in \u00e7\u00f6kmesi Irak i\u00e7in de tehlikeye i\u015faret.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu durum \u0130ran’\u0131n b\u00f6lgede eskisi kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve sahadaki vekil g\u00fc\u00e7lerin de eski motivasyon ve maneviyattan uzak oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, devrimden bu yana 45 y\u0131ld\u0131r Esed y\u00f6netimini destekliyor ve bunu hem dini-mezhebi hem de jeostratejik-siyasi nedenlere dayand\u0131r\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Suriye olmazsayd\u0131 \u0130ran L\u00fcbnan ve Filistin’de de g\u00fc\u00e7lenemezdi ve Hizbullah gibi bir \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc bunca y\u0131l ayakta tutamazd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Filistin’de \u0130slami Cihad’\u0131 kuramaz ve Hamas’\u0131 da zamanla etkisi alt\u0131na alamazd\u0131. Suriye’de Esed rejimi, \u0130ran i\u00e7in \u015eii Hilali’ni ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmede \u00e7ok etkin bir fakt\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Irak’ta ise L\u00fcbnan ve Suriye’den ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7le hegemonya alan\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletti ve gelinen a\u015famada Ba\u011fdat y\u00f6netiminin \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok belirleyici bir n\u00fcfuza sahip.<\/p>\n

Bu n\u00fcfuz, Suriye ve L\u00fcbnan’dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z de\u011ferlendirilemez. Suriye ve L\u00fcbnan’daki de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin de buradaki n\u00fcfuza etki etmemesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemez.<\/p>\n

\nSuriye ve L\u00fcbnan’daki geli\u015fmeler \u0130ran ve vekil g\u00fc\u00e7leri i\u00e7in Irak’ta da tehlike \u00e7anlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Bunun somut g\u00f6stergesi de mevcut Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin duru\u015fu ve \u015eii liderlerin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, Suriye’de 27 Kas\u0131m’da ba\u015flayan Halep operasyonu ve 8 Aral\u0131k’ta \u015eam’\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle neticelenen s\u00fcre\u00e7te Suriye’nin i\u00e7i\u015flerine kar\u0131\u015fmama noktas\u0131nda kararl\u0131 bir politika izledi ve kendi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 korumaya almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu politikada bariz bir ABD y\u00f6nlendirmesi ve etkisi vard\u0131. Sudani, \u0130ran’\u0131n t\u00fcm bask\u0131lar\u0131 ve \u0131srarlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen Suriye olaylar\u0131na kar\u0131\u015fmad\u0131 ve Irak’\u0131 kavgan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tutmay\u0131 ba\u015farabildi.<\/p>\n

Sudani’nin Esed’in \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u00fcrecinde izledi\u011fi politika Irak’\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 ve stratejik bir siyaseti haline gelirse bu badireyi b\u00fcy\u00fck yara almadan atlatabilir.<\/p>\n

Fakat Sudani’nin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu dikkate al\u0131rsak Irak’\u0131n ilanihaye bu tavr\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n

Irak \u015fu an ya\u015fanan b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7 dengelerinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda duramayacak kadar \u0130ran’a ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale geldi.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, Irak’\u0131n askeri, siyasi, ekonomik, yarg\u0131 ve sosyal kurumlar\u0131nda etkin ve belirleyici bir konumda.<\/p>\n

O y\u00fczden Sudani, Tahran y\u00f6netiminin izin verdi\u011fi kadar a\u00e7\u0131labilir, daha ileri gitti\u011finde h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi an meselesi olur.<\/p>\n

Yukar\u0131da da izah etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi L\u00fcbnan ve Suriye’den sonra adres Yemen ve Irak olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Hangisi \u00f6nce olur o geli\u015fmelere ve al\u0131nacak tutumlara ba\u011fl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Fakat \u0130srail-ABD’nin Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi denilen yap\u0131y\u0131 Irak’ta bu \u015fekilde b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n

ABD’de Trump’\u0131n g\u00f6reve ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi’ye y\u00f6nelik politikalarda da sertle\u015fmenin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

Bunu g\u00f6ren Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi komutanlar\u0131n\u0131n da \u015fimdiden buna kar\u015f\u0131 tedbir ald\u0131klar\u0131 bilgileri geliyor.<\/p>\n

Irak’tan gelen bilgilere g\u00f6re Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi’nin \u00f6nemli komutanlar\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar oldu\u011funda ka\u00e7abilecekleri ikinci adres olarak Irak K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi’nde (IKB) yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca a\u011f\u0131r silahlar\u0131 ve kritik karargahlar\u0131 bilinmeyen bir yere naklediyor.<\/p>\n

Irak K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi’nde de bu olas\u0131 senaryolar\u0131n ayak seslerini duyuyoruz.<\/p>\n

KDP lideri Mesud Barzani, Irak Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olmas\u0131na izin vermedi\u011fi Berhem Salih’i Erbil’de kabul etti.<\/p>\n

Berhem Salih, \u0130ran’a yak\u0131n olarak biliniyordu fakat art\u0131k o cephede g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Berhem Salih’in de olu\u015fan yeni dengelerde rol alabilmek i\u00e7in heyecanland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Yeni s\u00fcre\u00e7te Berhem Salih, Bafil’a kar\u015f\u0131 KDP ile hareket edebilir. Bunu uzak ihtimal olarak g\u00f6rm\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n

\nDi\u011fer yandan KDP ile KYB de h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurma aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131 ve hafta i\u00e7inde Erbil’de bir araya geldi.<\/p>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmet k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede yeniden kurulabilir. Esed’in d\u00fc\u015fmesi,\u00a0“Direni\u015f Ekseni”<\/em>nin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n etkisinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 KYB’nin de pazarl\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc azaltan bir sonu\u00e7 do\u011furdu.<\/p>\n

Normalde ba\u015fkanl\u0131k ya da ba\u015fbakanl\u0131ktan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131s\u0131na raz\u0131 olmayan ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in bunu temel \u015fart ko\u015fan KYB’nin \u00f6nemli bakanl\u0131klar\u0131 da kabul edebilece\u011fi bilgileri geliyor.<\/p>\n

\n\u00d6zetle; esas\u0131nda 7 Ekim fakat o \u00e7ok iddial\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in 8 Aral\u0131k’tan sonra hi\u00e7bir \u015fey eskisi gibi olmayacak.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran eski \u0130ran de\u011fil\u00a0ve\u00a0“Direni\u015f Ekseni”\u00a0<\/em>de \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinde.<\/p>\n

L\u00fcbnan ve Suriye bundan nasibini ald\u0131. Bunun Yemen ve Irak’a mutlaka etkisi olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bunun yumu\u015fak g\u00fc\u00e7le mi yani diplomatik giri\u015fimlerle mi yoksa sert g\u00fc\u00e7le yani sava\u015fla m\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131na bence \u0130ran karar verecek.<\/p>\n

\u015eu an g\u00f6r\u00fcnen tabloda \u0130ran’\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131 tercih etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyor olsak da bu tutumunu de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi hi\u00e7 uzak bir ihtimal de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, Irak’ta sava\u015f yerine yumu\u015fak bir ge\u00e7i\u015fi tercih edebilir.<\/p>\n

Irak’ta \u0130ran vekil g\u00fc\u00e7lerine y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131 dalgas\u0131 ba\u015flarsa bu Tahran’\u0131n i\u00e7ine kadar gider.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran da bunu g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in Irak’ta sava\u015ftan yana olmayabilir. Irak’ta bu anlamda ya\u015fanacak bir kriz Irak’ta durmayacak ve ate\u015fin k\u0131v\u0131lc\u0131mlar\u0131 \u0130ran’\u0131n i\u00e7ine s\u0131\u00e7rayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden L\u00fcbnan ve Suriye’de kaybeden \u0130ran, Irak ve Yemen’de de kazan-kazan form\u00fcl\u00fcne raz\u0131 olabilir ve Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi milislerini la\u011fvetmek ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bu \u00fclkedeki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc de makul seviyelere \u00e7ekmeyi tercih edebilir.<\/p>\n

Yaz\u0131n\u0131n orjinali: https:\/\/www.indyturk.com\/node\/750841\/t%C3%BCrki%CC%87yeden-sesler\/l%C3%BCbnan-ve-suriyenin-ard%C4%B1ndan-g%C3%B6zler-yemen-ve-irakta<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcrt yazar ve siyasi g\u00f6zlemci Serbest Ferhan Sindi Suriye sonras\u0131 geli\u015fecek olan yeni s\u00fcreci, Irak ve Yemen cephelerinde \u0130ran’\u0131n durumunu de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi bir yaz\u0131 kaleme ald\u0131. Independent T\u00fcrk\u00e7e’de yay\u0131nlanan makaleye a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ula\u015fa bilirsiniz:   \u0130ran‘\u0131n liderli\u011findeki “Direni\u015f Ekseni” denilen cephe, mevzi kaybetmeye devam ediyor. Gazze’deki a\u011f\u0131r y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n ard\u0131ndan L\u00fcbnan’da Hizbullah’\u0131n yedi\u011fi a\u011f\u0131r darbeler \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc belini do\u011frultamayaca\u011f\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1032276,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-1032275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forum","tag-onemli"],"blocksy_meta":[],"seo_head":"\nFerhan Sindi Independent T\u00fcrk\u00e7e i\u00e7in yazd\u0131: \u0130ran'\u0131n "Direni\u015f Ekseni" mevzi kaybetmeye devam ediyor - Darka Mazi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/darkamazi.site\/archives\/1032275\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ferhan Sindi Independent T\u00fcrk\u00e7e i\u00e7in yazd\u0131: \u0130ran'\u0131n "Direni\u015f Ekseni" mevzi kaybetmeye devam ediyor - Darka Mazi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"K\u00fcrt yazar ve siyasi g\u00f6zlemci Serbest Ferhan Sindi Suriye sonras\u0131 geli\u015fecek olan yeni s\u00fcreci, Irak ve Yemen cephelerinde \u0130ran’\u0131n durumunu de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi bir yaz\u0131 kaleme ald\u0131. 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