Do\u011falgaz sahalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar, \u0130ran\u2013ABD gerilimi ve b\u00f6lgesel dengelerdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fim; Irak\u2019ta K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin yeniden belirleyici bir siyasi g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Erbil\u2019in rol\u00fc, Ba\u011fdat\u2019\u0131n ve b\u00f6lgenin gelece\u011fini belirleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Irak\u2019\u0131n Kor Mor do\u011falgaz sahas\u0131na yap\u0131lan son sald\u0131r\u0131 ve bunu izleyen yerel ile uluslararas\u0131 tepkiler, b\u00f6lgede g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyecek i\u015faretler verdi. Bu geli\u015fme, \u0130ran\u2019a yak\u0131n partilerin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerin hemen ard\u0131ndan, silahl\u0131 gruplar\u0131n Irak\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f siyaseti \u00fczerinde bir bask\u0131 arac\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir d\u00f6neme denk geldi. Ayn\u0131 zamanda bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n s\u00fcrekli m\u00fcdahaleleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Ba\u011fdat ile Washington aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcveni yeniden tesis etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ABD\u2019nin \u00f6zel temsilcisinin y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc misyonla da \u00e7ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na g\u00f6re Washington, t\u00fcm siyasi, dini ve ekonomik taraflarla \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak \u201cistikrarl\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan uzak\u201d bir Irak in\u015fa etmeyi hedefliyor. Ancak Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki son geli\u015fmeler, bu hedefin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinde K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilecek yeni bir denge yaratm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bunun temel nedenlerinden biri, K\u00fcrt liderlerle Bat\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ili\u015fkilerin; Ba\u011fdat\u2019taki ideolojik partilerin \u0130ran\u2019la olan ba\u011flar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00e7ok daha istikrarl\u0131 bir zemin sunmas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Son d\u00f6nemde \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar, L\u00fcbnan ve Suriye\u2019de ya\u015fanan k\u00f6kl\u00fc stratejik de\u011fi\u015fimler ve b\u00f6lgesel ittifaklar\u0131n yeniden \u015fekillenmesi, Irak i\u00e7 siyasetini de etkiliyor. ABD\u2019nin Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekilme tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda, K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ni asker\u00ee varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenli bir \u00fcs olarak belirlemesi; petrol ve gaz zengini b\u00f6lgeyi Washington i\u00e7in hem ekonomik hem de g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7ilmez bir ortak haline getiriyor.<\/p>\n
ABD ve Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne verdi\u011fi \u00f6nem; b\u00f6lgenin yeni Irak d\u00fczeninde sahip oldu\u011fu anayasal stat\u00fc, \u00f6zerk y\u00f6netim kapasitesi ve federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetteki belirleyici rol\u00fcyle a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Nitekim b\u00f6lge, son on y\u0131llarda Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle fiilen yar\u0131-ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir yap\u0131ya kavu\u015fmu\u015f ve bu stat\u00fcy\u00fc korumay\u0131 ba\u015farm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Nuri el-Maliki\u2019nin son Erbil ziyareti, i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f siyasette yakla\u015fan de\u011fi\u015fimlerin habercisi olarak yorumland\u0131. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131, \u0130srail\u2013\u0130ran n\u00fcfuz m\u00fccadelesinin Irak\u2019ta daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f seviyelere ula\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle Ba\u011fdat i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a zor ge\u00e7ti. Bu durum, mevcut teokratik yap\u0131yla \u201cdemokratik, birle\u015fik bir Irak\u201d hayalini her zamankinden daha uzak hale getirdi.<\/p>\n
Bu ba\u011flamda Erbil\u2019deki s\u0131cak kar\u015f\u0131lama, \u0130ran\u2019a yak\u0131n bir siyasi lider olan Maliki\u2019nin, yeni g\u00fc\u00e7 dengeleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda K\u00fcrtlerle zorunlu bir uzla\u015f\u0131 aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Baz\u0131 siyasi \u00e7evreler, bu ziyaretin; K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, geleneksel olarak \u0130ran\u2019a yak\u0131n olan KYB yerine Barzani\u2019ye ba\u011fl\u0131 KDP\u2019den se\u00e7ilmesi kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Maliki\u2019ye ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k i\u00e7in destek verilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir anla\u015fman\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 olabilece\u011fini savunuyor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca Washington\u2019\u0131n Irak’ta yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kurulmas\u0131na do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahil olaca\u011f\u0131, \u201cmilis yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n etkisini sona erdirebilecek bir ba\u015fbakan\u201d se\u00e7ilmesini \u015fart ko\u015faca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberler; siyasi denklemin K\u00fcrtleri daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir konuma ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 izlenimini peki\u015ftiriyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede hem ABD\u2019ye yak\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hem de Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n deste\u011fini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen mevcut ba\u015fbakan Muhammed \u015eiya es-Sudani\u2019nin yeniden aday g\u00f6sterilmesi ihtimali de dile getiriliyor.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmeler ve yeni ittifaklar, K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ni ABD i\u00e7in daha da vazge\u00e7ilmez bir ortak haline getirmi\u015f durumda. Pe\u015fmerge g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin ABD ile uzun y\u0131llara dayanan g\u00fcvenlik i\u015fbirli\u011fi, b\u00f6lgeyi \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u015eii Hilali\u201d projesine yak\u0131n Irakl\u0131 partilere k\u0131yasla Washington\u2019\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenilir m\u00fcttefiki yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcm bu veriler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok g\u00f6zlemci, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Irak siyaseti \u00fczerindeki etkisinin, ya\u015fanan b\u00f6lgesel k\u0131r\u0131lmalarla birlikte azalmakta oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n petrol ve gaz zengini K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin; Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Irak\u2019taki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyan, istikrarl\u0131 ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir bir partner olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Sonu\u00e7 olarak, Irak\u2019\u0131n h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015fen siyasi ortam\u0131nda Erbil\u2019in rol\u00fc daha \u00f6nce hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar kritik hale gelmi\u015f durumda. Ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler, K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin Irak\u2019\u0131n gelece\u011finde \u201ckral yap\u0131c\u0131\u201d bir akt\u00f6r olma ihtimalini her zamankinden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Do\u011falgaz sahalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar, \u0130ran\u2013ABD gerilimi ve b\u00f6lgesel dengelerdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fim; Irak\u2019ta K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin yeniden belirleyici bir siyasi g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Erbil\u2019in rol\u00fc, Ba\u011fdat\u2019\u0131n ve b\u00f6lgenin gelece\u011fini belirleyebilir. Irak\u2019\u0131n Kor Mor do\u011falgaz sahas\u0131na yap\u0131lan son sald\u0131r\u0131 ve bunu izleyen yerel ile uluslararas\u0131 tepkiler, b\u00f6lgede g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyecek i\u015faretler verdi. Bu geli\u015fme, \u0130ran\u2019a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1035822,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-1035821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forum","tag-onemli"],"blocksy_meta":[],"seo_head":"\n