T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak ve K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi siyasetinde son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimi ele alan analizler, Ankara\u2019n\u0131n yeni d\u00f6nemde farkl\u0131 akt\u00f6rlerle kurdu\u011fu ili\u015fkilerin sahaya yans\u0131maya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6zellikle Baf\u0131l Talabani liderli\u011findeki YNK ile kurulan temaslar\u0131n, Irak i\u00e7 siyasetinde yeni dengeler olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ifade ediliyor. Uzun s\u00fcre Ankara taraf\u0131ndan mesafeli yakla\u015f\u0131lan YNK ve lideri Baf\u0131l Talabani\u2019nin, son s\u00fcre\u00e7te T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir akt\u00f6re d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Analizlere g\u00f6re bu de\u011fi\u015fim, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin K\u00fcrt meselesine y\u00f6nelik y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yeni yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel aya\u011f\u0131 olarak okunuyor.<\/p>\n
\n
Independent T\u00fcrk\u00e7e\u2019de yay\u0131mlanan ve Serbest Ferhan Sindi imzas\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan analiz, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak politikas\u0131nda son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimi \u201cBaf\u0131l kart\u0131\u201d \u00fczerinden de\u011ferlendiriyor. Analizde, Ankara\u2019n\u0131n hem Irak hem de K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki yeni stratejisinin, daha \u00f6nce mesafeli durdu\u011fu akt\u00f6rlerle kurdu\u011fu ili\u015fkiler \u00fczerinden \u015fekillendi\u011fi ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Sindi\u2019ye g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni s\u00fcre\u00e7 yaln\u0131zca i\u00e7 politikayla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil; b\u00f6lgesel yans\u0131malar\u0131 da giderek belirginle\u015fiyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede Suriye\u2019de SDG\/PYD ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tabloya benzer \u015fekilde, Irak\u2019ta da Baf\u0131l Talabani liderli\u011findeki K\u00fcrdistan Yurtseverler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin (YNK) s\u00fcrecin \u00f6nemli bir aya\u011f\u0131 haline geldi\u011fi savunuluyor. Ankara\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte \u201csak\u0131ncal\u0131\u201d g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir akt\u00f6rle bug\u00fcn stratejik d\u00fczeyde ili\u015fki kurmas\u0131n\u0131n, politikalardaki d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn en \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6stergelerinden biri oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
Serbest Ferhan Sindi\u2019nin Independent T\u00fcrk\u00e7e\u2019de yay\u0131mlanan analizi \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yeni s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00d6calan ile kurdu\u011fu ittifak\u0131n Irak ve K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki yans\u0131mas\u0131, Baf\u0131l kart\u0131n\u0131n yeni dengelerin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131nda devreye girmesi \u015feklinde oldu. Irak\u2019ta 11 Nisan\u2019da yap\u0131lan Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7iminde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin YNK\u2019ye(KYB) verdi\u011fi destek Baf\u0131l\u2019\u0131n Kerk\u00fck Valili\u011fini T\u00fcrkmenlere hediye etmesiyle kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k buldu.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak\u2019taki yeni m\u00fcttefi\u011fi Baf\u0131l\/YNK<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n Irak\u2019ta son s\u00fcre\u00e7te ya\u015fanan olaylar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin buradaki siyasetinin de \u00f6nemli oranda de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini ve yeni bir paradigman\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Bu ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni s\u00fcrecin de bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r \u015f\u00fcphesiz. Resmi makamlar\u0131n \u201cTer\u00f6rs\u00fcz T\u00fcrkiye\u201d K\u00fcrtlerin genellikle bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcreci, bir\u00e7ok ki\u015finin de sadece s\u00fcre\u00e7 dedi\u011fi projenin bir aya\u011f\u0131 SDG\/PYD ise bir di\u011fer aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da YNK oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fck.<\/p>\n Ankara\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcne kadar \u201csak\u0131ncal\u0131\u201d ve \u201cter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc i\u015fbirlik\u00e7isi\u201d olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Baf\u0131l Talabani bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Irak siyasetinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli m\u00fcttefi\u011fi durumuna gelmi\u015ftir. Bu anlamda ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fim \u00e7ok \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 ve dikkat \u00e7ekicidir.<\/p>\n Kerk\u00fck Valili\u011finin birka\u00e7 ayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na da olsa T\u00fcrkmenlere verilmesinin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de hala hakim olan politik ak\u0131l i\u00e7in \u00f6nemine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Baf\u0131l\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fey \u00d6calan\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan az de\u011fildir. Bu anlamda \u00d6calan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye Suriye\u2019de daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lenme ve ayak ba\u011flar\u0131ndan kurtulma imkan\u0131 sunmu\u015fsa Baf\u0131l da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak\u2019ta \u00f6nemli bir hedefini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirme \u015fans\u0131 vermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n \u00d6calan-Bah\u00e7eli-Baf\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7geni ve Kerk\u00fck<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere devlet kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n ve de medyas\u0131n\u0131n Kerk\u00fck Valili\u011finin T\u00fcrkmenlere ge\u00e7i\u015fini \u201cKerk\u00fck\u2019\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015fmandan kurtulu\u015fu\u201d gibi abartarak sunmas\u0131 ve bir \u201czafer\u201d havas\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131, YNK\u2019nin oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rol\u00fcn ve Baf\u0131l Talabani\u2019nin yeni istikametinin \u00f6nemini bariz bir \u015fekilde g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n MHP lideri Devlet Bah\u00e7eli\u2019nin 28 Nisan\u2019daki TBMM\u2019deki grup konu\u015fmas\u0131na da bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda mesele sadece Kerk\u00fck\u2019te K\u00fcrtler, Araplar ve T\u00fcrkmenlerin se\u00e7im sonucunda olu\u015fan \u0130l Meclisi\u2019ndeki sandalye da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na g\u00f6re kendi aralar\u0131nda vard\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir anla\u015fma de\u011fildir. Zira \u0130l Meclisi 16 \u00fcyeden olu\u015fuyor ve bunlar\u0131n 7\u2019si K\u00fcrt (YNK, KDP), 6\u2019s\u0131 Arap ve sadece 2\u2019si T\u00fcrkmen.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkmenlerin sadece 2 sandalye ile Kerk\u00fck \u00f6zelinde iktidara talip olmas\u0131 Irak\u2019taki i\u00e7 dengelerle a\u00e7\u0131klanabilecek bir \u015fey de\u011fildir. Bu do\u011frudan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kerk\u00fck ile ilgili izledi\u011fi bir siyasetin sonucudur. Mesele Arap K\u00fcrt ya da T\u00fcrkmen de de\u011fildir. Bir \u00fclke olarak da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir tarafta 7 sandalyesi olan partilerin valili\u011fi almas\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmiyorsun ama 2 sandalyesi olan partinin bunu almas\u0131n\u0131 istiyorsun.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye Kerk\u00fck\u2019te \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde T\u00fcrkmen kart\u0131na oynamaktad\u0131r ve ileride Kerk\u00fck\u2019le ilgili hedeflerini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in de zemin olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Devlet Bah\u00e7eli de grup toplant\u0131s\u0131nda bunu a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde ikrar etmi\u015ftir. Irak\u2019ta da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kerk\u00fck\u2019te KKTC modelini hayata ge\u00e7irmek istedi\u011fini yaz\u0131p \u00e7iziyor art\u0131k uzmanlar.<\/p>\n K\u00fcrtler ile yeniden bar\u0131\u015fmak i\u00e7in ba\u015flat\u0131lan s\u00fcre\u00e7te PKK kendini feshetti, silah yakt\u0131 ve \u015fimdi yasalar haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Suriye\u2019de de bunun sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve DSG (SDG) mukavemet g\u00f6stermeden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin istedi\u011fi \u015fekilde \u015eam\u2019daki \u015eara y\u00f6netimiyle anla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Irak\u2019ta ise Kerk\u00fck\u2019\u00fcn T\u00fcrkmenlere verilmesi kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye Baf\u0131l\u2019a Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinde destek verdi. Halbusi\u2019nin YNK\u2019ye verdi\u011fi deste\u011fin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin etkisiyle oldu\u011funu nereden anl\u0131yoruz? Tabi ki Kerk\u00fck Valili\u011fi devrinden. Baf\u0131l\u2019\u0131 Kerk\u00fck\u2019te Valili\u011fi T\u00fcrkmenlere b\u0131rakmas\u0131 \u015fart\u0131n\u0131 ko\u015fan Halbusi\u2019ydi. Ne zaman? Ba\u011fdat\u2019ta Otel Re\u015fid\u2019te YNK\u2019li vali se\u00e7ildi\u011finde Halbusi Valili\u011fin T\u00fcrkmenlere b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 \u015fart\u0131yla destek vermi\u015f ve YNK\u2019li Rebiwar Taha se\u00e7ilmi\u015ftir. Halbusi deste\u011fi olmasayd\u0131 YNK vali se\u00e7tiremezdi.<\/p>\n Baf\u0131l, \u201csak\u0131ncal\u0131 ter\u00f6r i\u015fbirlik\u00e7isi\u201dnden makbul m\u00fcttefikli\u011fe<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan Baf\u0131l\u2019\u0131n PKK ve YPG ile ili\u015fkileri nedeniyle S\u00fcleymaniye Havaliman\u0131na Nisan 2023\u2019ten Ekim 2025\u2019e kadar ambargo uygulanm\u0131\u015f ve u\u00e7u\u015flara yasak getirilmi\u015ftir. Irak K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ne\u00e7irvan Barzani\u2019nin, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019dan \u00f6zel ricas\u0131 \u00fczerine yasak 9 Ekim 2025\u2019te kalkt\u0131.<\/p>\n Baf\u0131l esas\u0131nda uzun zamand\u0131r T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkileri normalle\u015ftirmek ve Ankara\u2019da a\u011f\u0131rlanmak istiyordu. Fakat siyasi geli\u015fmeler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin K\u00fcrt politikas\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n etkisi buna izin vermiyordu. Fakat 7 Ekim olaylar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7, Suriye\u2019de Esed\u2019in devrilmesi ve 2 se\u00e7imin de geride kalmas\u0131yla bunun yolu a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n Baf\u0131l 20 Ekim 2024\u2019te yap\u0131lan K\u00fcrdistan Parlamentosu se\u00e7imleri ve 11 Kas\u0131m\u2019da yap\u0131lan Irak Meclisi se\u00e7imlerinde \u201cK\u00fcrt milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi\u201d kart\u0131na oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in o s\u00fcre\u00e7leri geride b\u0131rakmadan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye dair olumlu bir istikamete girmek istemedi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu ona oy kaybettirirdi. Fakat bunun i\u015faretlerini konuya hakim olanlar g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n YNK lideri Baf\u0131l, KDP\u2019yi devirme hedefiyle girdi\u011fi 20 Ekim 2024 IKB Parlamento se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmalardan birinde 29 Eyl\u00fcl 2024\u2019de \u015f\u00f6yle demi\u015fti:<\/p>\n Allah\u2019\u0131n yard\u0131m\u0131 ve halk\u0131n deste\u011fiyle bu yolsuz iktidar\u0131 devirece\u011fiz.<\/em><\/p>\n 29 Ekim 2024 Meydanlarda \u00e7o\u015farak ve halk\u0131 da galeyana getirerek tam 12 tane mikrofon k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 itiraf etti. 2<\/p>\n Baf\u0131l buralarda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada defalarca kez T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi IKB topraklar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fgal etmek ve KDP\u2019yi de onunla i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapmakla su\u00e7lad\u0131. 3 Baf\u0131l, \u201cBiz K\u00fcrdistan topraklar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fgalcilere teslim etmeyiz\u201d diyordu. Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Kerk\u00fck Valili\u011fi pazarl\u0131klar\u0131nda \u015eii ve S\u00fcnni taraflarla da anla\u015fmaya vararak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin istedi\u011fi ad\u0131m\u0131 attt\u0131 ve Ankara\u2019ya gidi\u015fin \u00f6n\u00fcnde bir engel kalmad\u0131.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye Baf\u0131l ile kazan\u0131yor<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye ile Baf\u0131l aras\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak kazan-kazan ili\u015fkisi var. \u0130ki taraf da bu ad\u0131mla \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir kazan\u0131m elde etmi\u015f ve stratejik olarak hedeflerine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olacakt\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in Kerk\u00fck\u2019te bir T\u00fcrkmenin i\u015f ba\u015f\u0131na gelmesi sembolik anlam\u0131 \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olayd\u0131. Ayn\u0131 zamanda Irak\u2019taki stratejik hedefler i\u00e7in de \u00e7ok kritik bir e\u015fikti. Bu a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Baf\u0131l i\u00e7in de T\u00fcrkiye vetosu b\u00fcy\u00fck bir engeldi ve bu KDP\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini engelliyordu.<\/p>\n Baf\u0131l, T\u00fcrkiye ile aras\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczelterek KDP\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek ve \u0130ran\u2019da oldu\u011fu gibi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de S\u00fcleymaniye\u2019nin hakimi gibi kar\u015f\u0131lanmak istiyor. Bu esas\u0131nda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n da \u00e7ok kar\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011fu bir \u015fey de\u011fildir. \u0130ran da YNK\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye ile iyi ili\u015fkilere sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131 ister. Mesele burada KDP\u2019nin dengelenmesi ve k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgilerini a\u015fmamas\u0131.<\/p>\n \u0130ran da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u015fu an YNK ve onun lideri Baf\u0131l\u2019\u0131n Irak\u2019ta g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ve \u00f6nemli makamlar\u0131 elde etmesine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fildir. Onlar\u0131n siyasetiyle uyumlu oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in de desteklemektedirler. YNK, Kerk\u00fck\u2019te T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli olan valili\u011fi T\u00fcrkmenlere vererek \u00e7ok iyi bir partner olabilece\u011fini ve Ankara\u2019n\u0131n sadece Kerk\u00fck\u2019te de\u011fil Irak\u2019ta da \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyabilece\u011fini ispatlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u00fcr\u00fcyen s\u00fcre\u00e7 de YNK\u2019ye geni\u015f bir alan a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f ve Ankara\u2019ya daha rahat hareket etme imkan\u0131 vermi\u015ftir. O y\u00fczden bu iki taraf\u0131n i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapmamas\u0131 ve Irak\u2019ta uzun zamand\u0131r planlad\u0131klar\u0131 politikalar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irmelerinin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki engeller azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Baf\u0131l kart\u0131yla Irak\u2019ta bir\u00e7ok hedefini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmek kehanet olmayacakt\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, Sudani-Halbusi-Baf\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcs\u00fc ile iyi bir ittifak kurmu\u015f durumda ve yeni s\u00fcre\u00e7te de \u0130ran ile ABD\u2019nin radikal ad\u0131mlar atmamas\u0131 halinde Irak\u2019ta T\u00fcrkmenleri merkeze alan politikalar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irmemesi i\u00e7in bir sebep g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemektedir.<\/p>\n Baf\u0131l kart\u0131 bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli ve kolay kolay vazge\u00e7ebilece\u011fi bir kart de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak ve K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi siyasetinde son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimi ele alan analizler, Ankara\u2019n\u0131n yeni d\u00f6nemde farkl\u0131 akt\u00f6rlerle kurdu\u011fu ili\u015fkilerin sahaya yans\u0131maya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6zellikle Baf\u0131l Talabani liderli\u011findeki YNK ile kurulan temaslar\u0131n, Irak i\u00e7 siyasetinde yeni dengeler olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ifade ediliyor. Uzun s\u00fcre Ankara taraf\u0131ndan mesafeli yakla\u015f\u0131lan YNK ve lideri Baf\u0131l Talabani\u2019nin, son s\u00fcre\u00e7te T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1038003,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-1038002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forum","tag-onemli"],"blocksy_meta":[],"seo_head":"\n