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Avrupa Birli\u011fi D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131 Y\u00fcksek Temsilcisi Kaja Kallas<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n Kurdistan24\u2019e bir deme\u00e7 verdi. Deme\u00e7, ABD\u2019nin Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekilme s\u00fcrecini do\u011fru ba\u011flamda de\u011ferlendirebilme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kayda de\u011fer ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yordu. Onun i\u00e7in, g\u00fcncel durum ve kaynaklar\u0131 tarayarak analiz etmemiz gerekiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu \u00e7ekilme, G\u00fcney Kurdistan\u2019\u0131n yeni bir s\u00fcrece girdi\u011fi ve Irak\u2019\u0131n yeni sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli ve hayatidir.<\/p>\n ABD\u2019nin Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekilmesi, \u0130ran tehdidi ve G\u00fcney Kurdistan\u2019\u0131n yaln\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/strong><\/p>\n ABD ve Koalisyon G\u00fc\u00e7leri\u2019nin \u00e7ekilmesi stratejik bir bo\u015fluk mu, egemenlik ad\u0131m\u0131 m\u0131?<\/strong><\/p>\n 28 Eyl\u00fcl 2026<\/strong>\u2019da Avrupa Birli\u011fi D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131 Y\u00fcksek Temsilcisi Kaja Kallas<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n Kurdistan24\u2019e verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki g\u00fcvenlik denklemlerinin ne kadar i\u00e7 i\u00e7e ge\u00e7ti\u011fini bir kez daha hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Kallas,<\/strong> Amerikan g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin geri \u00e7ekilmesinin ve Irak\u2019ta ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Irak\u2019a y\u00f6nelik tehlikeleriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirterek, \u201cOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki t\u00fcm meselelerin birbiriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131\u201d<\/em><\/strong> oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti ve olaylar\u0131n kapsaml\u0131, b\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl bir \u015fekilde takip edilmesi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131, kimleri ve neyi kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda belirsizlik ta\u015f\u0131sa da, zamanlamas\u0131 son derece kritik: ABD \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki koalisyonun Irak\u2019taki askeri misyonunun 30 Eyl\u00fcl 2026 <\/strong>itibar\u0131yla sona erdi\u011fi, hatta baz\u0131 Irakl\u0131 yetkililere g\u00f6re \u00e7ekilmenin fiilen tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n Bu ad\u0131m, 2024<\/strong>\u2019te Ba\u011fdat ile Washington aras\u0131nda var\u0131lan anla\u015fman\u0131n sonucu. DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 koalisyonun askeri g\u00f6revi sonland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor; Irak g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin (Pe\u015fmerge dahil)<\/strong> yeterince g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi varsay\u0131l\u0131yor ve ili\u015fki \u201cikili g\u00fcvenlik i\u015f birli\u011fi\u201d <\/em><\/strong>ne d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n Ancak ba\u011flam, 2011<\/strong>\u2019deki \u00e7ekilmeden \u00e7ok daha karma\u015f\u0131k. \u015eubat 2026<\/strong>\u2019dan bu yana s\u00fcren ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran gerilimi ve a\u00e7\u0131k \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131nda, G\u00fcney Kurdistan (Irak Kurdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi \u2013 IKBY) binlerce f\u00fcze ve \u0130HA sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na maruz kald\u0131. \u0130ran ve ba\u011fl\u0131 gruplar, \u00f6zellikle \u0130ranl\u0131 Kurd muhalif \u00f6rg\u00fctlerin kamplar\u0131n\u0131, enerji tesislerini, hatta KRG<\/strong> liderlerinin ofislerini hedef ald\u0131. Raporlara g\u00f6re bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 1000\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n \u00c7ekilmenin arkas\u0131ndaki mant\u0131k ve bask\u0131lar nelerdir?<\/strong><\/p>\n \u00c7ekilmenin temel gerek\u00e7eleri net:<\/strong><\/p>\n Irak\u2019\u0131n egemenli\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek, yabanc\u0131 askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sona erdirmek ve silahl\u0131 gruplar\u0131n (\u00f6zellikle \u0130ran yanl\u0131s\u0131 Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi unsurlar\u0131n\u0131n) \u201cyabanc\u0131 i\u015fgal\u201d<\/em><\/strong> bahanesiyle silah tutma gerek\u00e7esini ortadan kald\u0131rmak.<\/p>\n Irak Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Ali el-Zeydi y\u00f6netimi, silahlar\u0131n devlet kontrol\u00fcne al\u0131nmas\u0131 s\u00fcrecini bu tarihle ili\u015fkilendirdi; ancak s\u00fcre\u00e7 ertelendi ve bir\u00e7ok grup direnmeye devam ediyor. \u0130ran proxyleri <\/strong>y\u0131llard\u0131r Ba\u011fdat h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ve ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerine bask\u0131 uyguluyor, zaman zaman hem koalisyon \u00fcslerine hem de G\u00fcney Kurdistan\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenliyordu. \u00c7ekilme, bu bask\u0131ya k\u0131smen yan\u0131t veriyor ve Ba\u011fdat\u2019\u0131n \u201cegemenlik\u201d <\/em><\/strong>s\u00f6ylemini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n ABD a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da Trump<\/strong> y\u00f6netiminin \u201csonsuz sava\u015flara son\u201d <\/em><\/strong>yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki askeri ayak izini azaltma tercihi belirleyici. Kalan, birliklerin \u00dcrd\u00fcn ve di\u011fer b\u00f6lgesel \u00fcslere kayd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 planlan\u0131yor. Erbil<\/strong>\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fck konsolosluk gibi diplomatik varl\u0131klar kalacak, ancak hava savunma sistemleri (Patriot, C-RAM vb.) de dahil olmak \u00fczere askeri unsurlar\u0131n \u00e7ekilmesi, KRG<\/strong>\u2019nin en somut endi\u015fesi.<\/p>\n G\u00fcney Kurdistan neden en k\u0131r\u0131lgan halka?<\/strong><\/p>\n G\u00fcney Kurdistan, Irak\u2019\u0131n geri kalan\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha istikrarl\u0131, ekonomik olarak dinamik ve nispeten bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l bir b\u00f6lge. Ancak bu istikrar, uzun s\u00fcre Amerikan varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve hava savunma \u015femsiyesiyle desteklendi. Pe\u015fmerge\u2019nin reformu ve birle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in bask\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, ABD\u2019nin g\u00fcvenlik yard\u0131m\u0131 anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n (MOU) ayn\u0131 tarihte sona ermesi, finansman ve e\u011fitim deste\u011finin de risk alt\u0131na girebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini do\u011furuyor.<\/p>\n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n stratejisi a\u00e7\u0131k:<\/strong> G\u00fcney Kurdistan\u2019\u0131 \u201ctam kontrol edilemeyen\u201d<\/em><\/strong> bir alan olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u0130ranl\u0131 Kurd muhalif gruplar\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bahane ederek, b\u00f6lgeyi tampon haline getirmeye, KRG<\/strong>\u2019yi zay\u0131flatmaya ve Ba\u011fdat \u00fczerinden etki alan\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. ABD varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu dengeyi bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yordu. \u015eimdi hava savunma sistemlerinin \u00e7ekilmesiyle birlikte, Erbil ve \u00e7evresi daha savunmas\u0131z hale geliyor. KRG yetkilileri, Ba\u011fdat\u2019tan \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n durdurulaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fcvence talep etti; ancak federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bu konuda ne kadar etkili olabilece\u011fi belirsiz.<\/p>\n Bu tablo, K\u00fcrtlerin \u201cstratejik m\u00fcttefik\u201d<\/em><\/strong> olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u00f6ylemiyle \u00e7eli\u015fiyor. Tarihsel olarak ABD ve Bat\u0131, Kurdleri DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 en etkili kara g\u00fcc\u00fc olarak destekledi, ancak \u00e7\u0131karlar de\u011fi\u015fince taahh\u00fctler de esnekle\u015fti. 2017<\/strong> ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k referandumu sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanan yaln\u0131zl\u0131k ve Kerk\u00fck<\/strong> kayb\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 haf\u0131zalarda! Bug\u00fcn benzer bir risk yeniden ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor: B\u00f6lgesel akt\u00f6rler (\u0130ran, T\u00fcrkiye, Ba\u011fdat) aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f bir KRG, d\u0131\u015f \u015femsiye olmadan daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan olacak ve ABD\u2019nin buna g\u00f6z yumma r\u0131zk\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor!<\/p>\n Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel ba\u011flant\u0131lar<\/strong><\/p>\n Kallas\u2019\u0131n, \u201cb\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl takip\u201d<\/em><\/strong> \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131, AB\u2019nin Irak\u2019\u0131n istikrar\u0131n\u0131 koruma ve \u00fclkenin vekalet sava\u015f\u0131 sahnesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesini engelleme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Avrupa, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n etki alan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak ve DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in yeniden canlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek istiyor. Ancak askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00e7ekilmesi, pratikte Kurdlere verilen deste\u011fin de azalmas\u0131 riskini ta\u015f\u0131yor. ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran geriliminin geni\u015fleme ihtimali y\u00fcksekken, Irak\u2019\u0131n \u201ctarafs\u0131z\u201d<\/em><\/strong> kalmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi<\/strong> unsurlar\u0131n\u0131n silah b\u0131rakmamas\u0131, Ba\u011fdat\u2019\u0131n egemenlik iddias\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131yor ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n dolayl\u0131 etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve hatta g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n \u00c7ekilme, teknik olarak \u201cyanl\u0131\u015f\u201d<\/em><\/strong> de\u011fil; Irak\u2019\u0131n egemenlik talebi ve DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zay\u0131flat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 objektif ger\u00e7ekler. Ancak zamanlama ve ko\u015fullar sorunlu. \u0130ran tehdidinin aktif oldu\u011fu, hava savunmas\u0131n\u0131n kritik oldu\u011fu ve milislerin h\u00e2l\u00e2 silahl\u0131 oldu\u011fu bir ortamda, G\u00fcney Kurdistan\u2019\u0131n \u201ckorumas\u0131z\u201d<\/em><\/strong> b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131, stratejik bir bo\u015fluk yarat\u0131yor. Bu, Kurdleri bir kez daha yaln\u0131z b\u0131rakma riski ta\u015f\u0131yor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc diplomatik destek ve ekonomik ili\u015fkiler, somut g\u00fcvenlik garantisinin yerini tutmuyor.<\/p>\n Bo\u015fluk doldurulmazsa istikrar tehdit alt\u0131nda<\/strong><\/p>\n ABD\u2019nin \u00e7ekilmesi, Irak i\u00e7in yeni bir sayfa a\u00e7\u0131yor: Daha fazla egemenlik, daha az yabanc\u0131 asker. Ancak bu sayfa, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fcfuzunu, milislerin direncini ve G\u00fcney Kurdistan\u2019\u0131n savunma zaaf\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getiriyor. Kallas\u2019\u0131n vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 meseleler\u201d <\/em><\/strong>tam da burada devreye giriyor. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da hi\u00e7bir geli\u015fme izole de\u011fil; bir yerdeki \u00e7ekilme, ba\u015fka yerdeki tehdidi b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n Kurdler i\u00e7in \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm, yaln\u0131zca d\u0131\u015f g\u00fcvene ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmamak. Pe\u015fmerge\u2019nin birle\u015fmesi, kendi hava savunma kapasitesinin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi (Ba\u011fdat \u00fczerinden veya ikili anla\u015fmalarla), b\u00f6lgesel diplomasi ve i\u00e7 siyasi birlik kritik. Bat\u0131 ve Avrupa ise \u201cb\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl takip\u201d<\/em><\/strong> s\u00f6ylemini somut g\u00fcvenlik ve ekonomik destekle desteklemezse, \u201cstratejik m\u00fcttefik\u201d<\/em><\/strong> retori\u011fi bo\u015f kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n Tarih, Kurdlerin yaln\u0131z b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerin genellikle daha b\u00fcy\u00fck istikrars\u0131zl\u0131klara yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Bu kez de benzer bir senaryonun ya\u015fanmamas\u0131, t\u00fcm taraflar\u0131n sorumlulu\u011fundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n \u015eeyhmus \u00d6zzengin\/28.09.2026<\/p>\n \n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Avrupa Birli\u011fi D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131 Y\u00fcksek Temsilcisi Kaja Kallas\u2019\u0131n Kurdistan24\u2019e bir deme\u00e7 verdi. Deme\u00e7, ABD\u2019nin Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekilme s\u00fcrecini do\u011fru ba\u011flamda de\u011ferlendirebilme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kayda de\u011fer ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yordu. Onun i\u00e7in, g\u00fcncel durum ve kaynaklar\u0131 tarayarak analiz etmemiz gerekiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu \u00e7ekilme, G\u00fcney Kurdistan\u2019\u0131n yeni bir s\u00fcrece girdi\u011fi ve Irak\u2019\u0131n yeni sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1039457,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-1039475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forum","tag-onemli"],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":8}},"seo_head":"\n